PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

df4b

0x406299585dd4e949c5a0e8da630078f7dc0125c0

Realised P&L
$-80.02
Volume
$109.6k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$31.82

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample35 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 11:20Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.9969995005$1.05
07-02 11:19Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.06
07-02 11:19Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.06
07-02 11:15Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.06
07-02 11:15Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.999$1.06
05-07 08:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.998999199$1.11
05-07 08:13Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?BUY0.999$1.11
05-07 08:12Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?BUY0.999$1.22
05-07 08:11Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $690 Week of May 4 2026?BUY0.999$1.22
03-26 14:24Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$123.79
03-26 14:23Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C or higher on March 26?BUY0.999$1.00
03-26 14:22Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 26?BUY0.998$1.00
03-26 14:22Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 26?BUY0.999000001$1.00
03-26 14:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 26?BUY0.998999334$1.20
12-27 05:01Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.007$110.00