C03B
0x40604cb1f958c03bea0b18aa43e4cb0d62f33ec3
- Realised P&L
- $302.2k
- Volume
- $29.63M
- Markets traded
- 2,090
- Open portfolio
- $97.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,090
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.1kat 0.778Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?
- +$31.6kat 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
- +$20.6kat 0.912Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$12.4kat 0.918Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
- +$10.4kat 0.645Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 10:02 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 09-22 09:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.2k |
| 09-22 09:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.9857727402 | $1.2k |
| 09-22 09:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.9819989436 | $3.6k |
| 09-22 08:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | SELL | 0.9870684069 | $1.1k |
| 09-22 08:49 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $446.49 |
| 09-22 08:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $320.66 |
| 09-22 08:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.5k |
| 09-22 08:47 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $522.72 |
| 09-22 08:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.836 | $3.8k |
| 09-22 08:45 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $466.29 |
| 09-22 08:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.969996403 | $973.50 |
| 09-22 08:44 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $495.00 |
| 09-22 06:41 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $499.52 |
| 09-21 21:20 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.5k |