C03B
0x40604cb1f958c03bea0b18aa43e4cb0d62f33ec3
- Realised P&L
- $250.9k
- Volume
- $28.23M
- Markets traded
- 1,682
- Open portfolio
- $118.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,682
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.0kat 0.985Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
- +$21.0kat 0.911Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$12.4kat 0.918Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
- +$10.7kat 0.636Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$9.0kat 0.438WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.0k |
| 08-04 11:43 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.59 | $16.62 |
| 08-04 11:29 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.5198127271 | $277.57 |
| 08-04 11:10 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.3352111635 | $72.55 |
| 08-04 11:08 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.2493661919 | $566.04 |
| 08-03 20:34 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.99 | $643.50 |
| 08-03 19:58 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $82 on August 3? | BUY | 0.97 | $491.12 |
| 08-03 19:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 3? | BUY | 0.87 | $763.86 |
| 08-03 19:22 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 3? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 08-03 19:16 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on August 3? | BUY | 0.837204611 | $581.02 |
| 08-03 12:37 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in August? | BUY | 0.7954802929 | $362.88 |
| 08-02 22:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.8k |
| 08-02 21:58 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $59 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $105.83 |
| 08-02 03:29 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.9500807081 | $35.3k |
| 08-02 03:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $81.20 |