bettingtp
0x4058dbf40341fd39034272572301a09275039dc6
- Realised P&L
- $-59.17
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $38.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.26at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 17?
- +$32.28at 0.423Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 30?
- +$29.38at 0.124Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or higher on March 22?
- +$28.14at 0.259Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 3?
- +$23.09at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 15:21 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.62 | $9.30 |
| 09-24 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.43 | $9.46 |
| 09-24 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.24 | $5.28 |
| 09-24 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 24? | BUY | 0.59 | $6.49 |
| 09-23 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.58 | $8.12 |
| 09-23 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.38 | $5.32 |
| 09-23 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.55 | $7.70 |
| 09-22 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 09-22 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.12 | $4.92 |
| 09-22 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.42 |
| 09-22 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.66 | $5.28 |
| 09-21 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.76 | $6.08 |
| 09-21 15:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.42 | $3.78 |
| 09-21 14:21 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-21 14:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.64 | $5.76 |