PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bettingtp

0x4058dbf40341fd39034272572301a09275039dc6

Realised P&L
$-59.17
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$38.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24? · Yes0.4300.455$10.01+$0.55
Will MiniMax have the best Image-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026? · No0.6700.385$7.70$5.70
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 24? · Yes0.5900.645$7.09+$0.60
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.3800.265$5.30$2.30
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 24? · Yes0.6200.340$5.10$4.20
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 24? · Yes0.2400.130$2.86$2.42
Will Marcio Bittar win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? · Yes0.4150.465$0.78+$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on March 27? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.68
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on August 27? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$9.24
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · No0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 30? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$9.44
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 23? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$8.12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 2? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$2.79
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 23? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$5.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on August 31? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$6.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 15:21Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 24?BUY0.62$9.30
09-24 15:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 24?BUY0.43$9.46
09-24 14:01Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on September 24?BUY0.24$5.28
09-24 14:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 24?BUY0.59$6.49
09-23 15:01Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 23?BUY0.58$8.12
09-23 14:00Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 23?BUY0.38$5.32
09-23 14:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 23?BUY0.55$7.70
09-22 15:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22?BUY0.5$7.50
09-22 15:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 22?BUY0.12$4.92
09-22 14:01Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 22?BUY0.38$3.42
09-22 14:01Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on September 22?BUY0.66$5.28
09-21 15:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 21?BUY0.76$6.08
09-21 15:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 21?BUY0.42$3.78
09-21 14:21Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 21?BUY0.57$2.85
09-21 14:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 21?BUY0.64$5.76