Farhanmohamed
0x4054ae93286ef7c512fc8bf2fffb6c2f12fdd8ce
- Realised P&L
- $-20.88
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $33.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $24.52 | −$0.48 |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.105 | $8.75 | −$1.25 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? · No | 0.031 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? · No | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 Portugal? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.49at 0.361Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?
- +$-1.43at 0.678Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$-2.20at 0.008Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$-20.28at 0.804Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 15:12 | Exact Score: Norway 0 - 1 Portugal? | BUY | 0.0599999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 15:07 | Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 15:06 | Will Belgium win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.2599999977 | $25.00 |
| 09-27 15:05 | Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 19:30 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:27 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-20 17:46 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $3.13 |
| 09-20 17:31 | Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $9.05 |
| 09-20 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.8599999243 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 17:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |