PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x404BfFA70DCe5eb713BAB7bea08eb212a29eDe15-1766476546442

0x404bffa70dce5eb713bab7bea08eb212a29ede15

Realised P&L
$-292.36
Volume
$14.2k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$14.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.4700.475$10.11+$0.11
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? · Yes0.0860.070$4.05$0.95
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2460.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in April? · No0.8800.000$0.00$9.00
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026? · No0.0410.000$0.00$1.00
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? · No0.1310.000$0.00$4.00
Will Trump say "MVP" in April? · No0.6200.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump say "Palestine" in April? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$2.00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$7.00
Will Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in April? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00$2.00
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$9.80
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00$25.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$24.39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00$30.00
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.1500.000$0.00$4.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:05Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6466760649$59.89
07-19 21:04Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.3643709171$62.69
07-18 00:04Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4059999978$69.86
07-17 23:59Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?SELL0.2712964169$24.99
07-12 11:38Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?BUY0.4699999915$10.00
06-14 01:34Will Victor Wembanyama lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds?BUY0.7988165612$20.00
06-14 01:31Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.2459999845$10.00
04-26 08:51Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?BUY0.3499999842$9.61
04-22 18:18Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?BUY0.1306570004$4.00
04-22 18:17Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?SELL0.037$1.16
04-21 23:48Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0405706324$1.00
04-21 23:48Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?SELL0.9668450586$11.54
04-21 23:47Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?BUY0.0863988785$5.00
04-21 23:45Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.3799999939$35.00
04-21 23:18US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?SELL0.991$66.22