0x404BfFA70DCe5eb713BAB7bea08eb212a29eDe15-1766476546442
0x404bffa70dce5eb713bab7bea08eb212a29ede15
- Realised P&L
- $-292.36
- Volume
- $14.2k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $14.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.43at 0.977Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$49.90at 0.701Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$32.72at 0.647Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$32.60at 0.434Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$17.14at 0.290Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 21:05 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6466760649 | $59.89 |
| 07-19 21:04 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.3643709171 | $62.69 |
| 07-18 00:04 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4059999978 | $69.86 |
| 07-17 23:59 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.2712964169 | $24.99 |
| 07-12 11:38 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 01:34 | Will Victor Wembanyama lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds? | BUY | 0.7988165612 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 01:31 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.2459999845 | $10.00 |
| 04-26 08:51 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $9.61 |
| 04-22 18:18 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1306570004 | $4.00 |
| 04-22 18:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | SELL | 0.037 | $1.16 |
| 04-21 23:48 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0405706324 | $1.00 |
| 04-21 23:48 | Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9668450586 | $11.54 |
| 04-21 23:47 | Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? | BUY | 0.0863988785 | $5.00 |
| 04-21 23:45 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.3799999939 | $35.00 |
| 04-21 23:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $66.22 |