0x1421Ed2798457443b781C4916B269Cc91Be0B9dE-1777740567591
0x4049ad833241bf1298a8be78cf7b270ca9109391
- Realised P&L
- $-20.03
- Volume
- $476.30
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $18.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 18? · No | 0.519 | 0.475 | $18.31 | −$1.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Up | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.16at 0.925Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
- +$-0.91at 0.263Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
- +$-1.15at 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 14:43 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 18? | BUY | 0.5188679184 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 09-17 14:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $4.45 |
| 09-17 14:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $5.31 |
| 09-17 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $5.76 |
| 09-17 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 14:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $4.28 |
| 09-17 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2999999976 | $25.00 |
| 09-17 14:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.2593668544 | $32.24 |
| 09-17 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2011186024 | $25.00 |