PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lll1lll

0x40437988d23fe3a59b66c684f1a4fdc29eb005e9

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$514.0k
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$310.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 14:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31?SELL0.282$124.13
10-30 12:26Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31?BUY0.011$1.20
10-30 12:24Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31?BUY0.179$78.79
10-30 12:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?BUY0.038$7.59
10-30 12:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?BUY0.041$6.72
10-30 12:09Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31?BUY0.0413927818$13.73
10-30 12:08Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31?BUY0.012$6.06
10-30 12:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 2?BUY0.011$5.61
10-30 12:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3?BUY0.014$5.61
10-30 11:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?SELL0.0835240078$141.84
10-30 09:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?BUY0.076$14.38
10-30 09:01Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?BUY0.075$113.17
10-30 08:56Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.003847142$2.70
10-29 15:41Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.01$2.06
10-29 15:40Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.0089252988$1.79