lll1lll
0x40437988d23fe3a59b66c684f1a4fdc29eb005e9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $514.0k
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $310.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$223.57at 0.021Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
- +$140.21at 0.053Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?
- +$127.52at 0.051Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?
- +$89.45at 0.082Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?
- +$48.40at 0.050Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 14:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31? | SELL | 0.282 | $124.13 |
| 10-30 12:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.20 |
| 10-30 12:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.179 | $78.79 |
| 10-30 12:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.038 | $7.59 |
| 10-30 12:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.041 | $6.72 |
| 10-30 12:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.0413927818 | $13.73 |
| 10-30 12:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $6.06 |
| 10-30 12:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.61 |
| 10-30 12:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 3? | BUY | 0.014 | $5.61 |
| 10-30 11:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | SELL | 0.0835240078 | $141.84 |
| 10-30 09:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.076 | $14.38 |
| 10-30 09:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30? | BUY | 0.075 | $113.17 |
| 10-30 08:56 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.003847142 | $2.70 |
| 10-29 15:41 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.06 |
| 10-29 15:40 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0089252988 | $1.79 |