lll1lll
0x40437988d23fe3a59b66c684f1a4fdc29eb005e9
- Realised P&L
- $-159.28
- Volume
- $209.1k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$223.57at 0.021Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?
- +$140.21at 0.053Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8?
- +$127.52at 0.051Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24?
- +$89.45at 0.082Will Brentford FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?
- +$48.40at 0.050Will Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 18:38 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.015 | $152.12 |
| 09-14 04:45 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.016 | $46.57 |
| 09-13 16:36 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.037 | $97.39 |
| 09-13 14:47 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.033 | $132.55 |
| 09-11 23:00 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.024 | $90.40 |
| 09-06 19:14 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.027 | $22.85 |
| 09-04 12:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.062 | $12.40 |
| 09-04 12:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.067 | $13.08 |
| 09-04 12:31 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.025 | $50.66 |
| 09-02 20:30 | Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.05 | $24.94 |
| 09-01 19:54 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0289435718 | $237.22 |
| 08-23 07:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24? | BUY | 0.151 | $8.54 |
| 08-20 03:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 20? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.30 |
| 08-20 03:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20? | SELL | 0.012 | $1.20 |
| 08-20 03:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20? | BUY | 0.013 | $13.97 |