PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

lll1lll

0x40437988d23fe3a59b66c684f1a4fdc29eb005e9

Realised P&L
$-159.28
Volume
$209.1k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0280.043$509.58+$184.04
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0240.015$499.70$288.26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20? · No0.0130.000$0.00$12.67
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? · No0.0470.000$0.00$10.16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? · No0.0020.000$0.00$14.98
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13? · No0.2750.000$0.00$46.69
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17? · No0.0290.000$0.00$8.05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? · No0.0080.000$0.00$28.48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 18? · No0.1710.000$0.00$5.78
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? · No0.0040.000$0.00$2.90
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 21? · No0.0060.000$0.00$4.87
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24? · No0.0020.000$0.00$4.15
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.44
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$20.32
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$3.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:38Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.015$152.12
09-14 04:45Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.016$46.57
09-13 16:36Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.037$97.39
09-13 14:47Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.033$132.55
09-11 23:00Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.024$90.40
09-06 19:14Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.027$22.85
09-04 12:41Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4?BUY0.062$12.40
09-04 12:40Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 4?BUY0.067$13.08
09-04 12:31Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.025$50.66
09-02 20:30Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.05$24.94
09-01 19:54Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0289435718$237.22
08-23 07:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?BUY0.151$8.54
08-20 03:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 20?BUY0.002$1.30
08-20 03:27Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?SELL0.012$1.20
08-20 03:23Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 20?BUY0.013$13.97