0x404298B46e12dacDd0f19e5309310715C7EFE886-1774268172377
0x404298b46e12dacdd0f19e5309310715c7efe886
- Realised P&L
- $-78.03
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 340
- Open portfolio
- $43.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded340
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.500Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?
- +$7.24at 0.580Blackhawks vs. Rangers
- +$3.14at 0.560Will Aurora FC win on 2026-03-29?
- +$2.70at 0.200US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?
- +$2.67at 0.600Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 19:17 | Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1917208544 | $24.00 |
| 04-01 18:47 | Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.92 | $86.00 |
| 04-01 18:44 | Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 04-01 18:44 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.0760388032 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 18:43 | Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 04-01 18:43 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 18:43 | Will Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 18:43 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.0306154408 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 18:43 | Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 04-01 18:43 | Will Trump's remarks not air? | BUY | 0.0140000003 | $1.00 |
| 03-30 20:26 | Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekic | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $1.97 |
| 03-30 20:25 | US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | BUY | 0.619999969 | $1.97 |
| 03-30 20:25 | US Men's Clay Court Championships: Mackenzie McDonald vs Jenson Brooksby | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.97 |
| 03-30 20:25 | New York Yankees vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $1.97 |
| 03-30 20:25 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.59999994 | $1.97 |