PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x404298B46e12dacDd0f19e5309310715C7EFE886-1774268172377

0x404298b46e12dacdd0f19e5309310715c7efe886

Realised P&L
$-78.03
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
340
Open portfolio
$43.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded340
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1920.080$10.01$13.99
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026? · Yes0.2101.000$4.76+$3.76
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? · Yes0.4201.000$4.76+$2.76
Suns vs. Hornets · Hornets0.7001.000$4.26+$1.28
Timberwolves vs. Pistons · Pistons0.7701.000$3.88+$0.89
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.1500.120$3.20$0.80
Timberwolves vs. 76ers · 76ers0.7231.000$2.75+$0.76
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-03? · Yes0.7701.000$2.60+$0.60
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazers · Trail Blazers0.7901.000$2.52+$0.53
Lakers vs. Thunder · Thunder0.7901.000$2.52+$0.53
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-04-03? · Yes0.8001.000$2.50+$0.50
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Coachella Valley Firebirds · San Jose Barracuda0.5300.000$0.00$2.00
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty League Major 2 Playoffs · Los Angeles Thieves0.6700.000$0.00$3.00
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Alex Bolt vs Andres Andrade · Andres Andrade0.5200.000$0.00$3.00
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers · Clippers0.6800.000$0.00$2.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 19:17Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1917208544$24.00
04-01 18:47Will Trump say "NATO" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.92$86.00
04-01 18:44Will Trump say "Bibi" or "Netanyahu" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.229999916$2.00
04-01 18:44Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.0760388032$1.00
04-01 18:43Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
04-01 18:43Will Trump say "Fake News" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.239999856$1.00
04-01 18:43Will Trump say "Mission Accomplished" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
04-01 18:43Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.0306154408$1.00
04-01 18:43Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?BUY0.32$1.00
04-01 18:43Will Trump's remarks not air?BUY0.0140000003$1.00
03-30 20:26Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna VekicBUY0.5199999896$1.97
03-30 20:25US Men's Clay Court Championships: Colton Smith vs Thiago Agustin TiranteBUY0.619999969$1.97
03-30 20:25US Men's Clay Court Championships: Mackenzie McDonald vs Jenson BrooksbyBUY0.6899999586$1.97
03-30 20:25New York Yankees vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.5199999896$1.97
03-30 20:25Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee BrewersBUY0.59999994$1.97