jellydonut62
0x404239ba5dafb17da139d664ec720bf2f35f058f
- Realised P&L
- $31.9k
- Volume
- $1.54M
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $39.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.1kat 0.114Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.4kat 0.710UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$4.0kat 0.600Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$3.2kat 0.450Will United States win on 2026-06-25?
- +$3.0kat 0.400Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 03:22 | Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.962 | $18.4k |
| 07-29 00:46 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.04 | $445.15 |
| 06-30 01:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.114 | $2.0k |
| 04-12 21:51 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.44 | $503.58 |
| 04-12 02:31 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.2k |
| 04-12 02:30 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.44 | $392.49 |
| 04-12 02:29 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.2990405518 | $368.71 |
| 04-09 03:40 | Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.20 |
| 04-09 03:40 | Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.001 | $8.90 |
| 04-09 03:40 | Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.001 | $16.37 |
| 04-09 03:40 | Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.001 | $16.37 |
| 04-09 03:39 | Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.002 | $32.75 |
| 04-09 03:39 | Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.69 |
| 04-09 03:39 | Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.002 | $26.02 |
| 04-09 03:37 | Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? | SELL | 0.007 | $18.86 |