PolyBot

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Traders

jellydonut62

0x404239ba5dafb17da139d664ec720bf2f35f058f

Realised P&L
$20.8k
Volume
$1.62M
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$66.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 23:24Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.044$24.42
09-11 23:23Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.044$105.60
09-06 01:00Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0437520218$276.34
07-29 03:22Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.962$18.4k
07-29 00:46Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.04$445.15
06-30 01:15Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.114$2.0k
04-12 21:51Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.44$503.58
04-12 02:31Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.41$1.2k
04-12 02:30Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.44$392.49
04-12 02:29Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.2990405518$368.71
04-09 03:40Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.001$3.20
04-09 03:40Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.001$8.90
04-09 03:40Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.001$16.37
04-09 03:40Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.001$16.37
04-09 03:39Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.002$32.75