PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

jellydonut62

0x404239ba5dafb17da139d664ec720bf2f35f058f

Realised P&L
$31.9k
Volume
$1.54M
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$39.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9620.961$18.4k$28.75
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9320.932$12.1k+$6.49
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3070.747$7.5k+$4.4k
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.4400.055$550.00$3.8k
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0400.043$490.21+$28.84
Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0090.001$8.19$141.08
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.01
Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No0.3300.000$0.00$2.5k
Will Rasmus Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$29.41
Will Phil Mickelson win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$149.27
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.1k
Will Adam Scott win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.01
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.01
Will Billy Horschel win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$149.27
Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$149.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 03:22Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.962$18.4k
07-29 00:46Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.04$445.15
06-30 01:15Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.114$2.0k
04-12 21:51Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.44$503.58
04-12 02:31Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.41$1.2k
04-12 02:30Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.44$392.49
04-12 02:29Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.2990405518$368.71
04-09 03:40Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.001$3.20
04-09 03:40Will Sergio Garcia win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.001$8.90
04-09 03:40Will Matt McCarty win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.001$16.37
04-09 03:40Will Max Greyserman win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.001$16.37
04-09 03:39Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.002$32.75
04-09 03:39Will Max Homa win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.002$1.69
04-09 03:39Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.002$26.02
04-09 03:37Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL0.007$18.86
Trader jellydonut62 · PolyBot