PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x403be4209C3bb6683CdF5dbAfDa7D48e3B720Eff-1761605614930

0x403be4209c3bb6683cdf5dbafda7d48e3b720eff

Realised P&L
$-25.74
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$1.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 16:10Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $577.50 Week of October 19 2026?SELL0.032$0.64
10-19 07:37Will DK Metcalf have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.87$4.35
10-18 04:38Will Marek Hattas win the 2026 Nitra mayoral election?SELL0.82$16.40
10-17 16:59Will White House post 200+ posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?SELL0.8899230769$11.57
10-17 03:40Will Lindsey Vonn be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?SELL0.001$0.03
10-17 00:57Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above $65B?SELL0.21$4.01
10-16 21:25Will N1 launch a token by December 31, 2027?SELL0.62$12.40
10-16 14:58Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 in October?SELL0.55$11.00
10-16 05:20Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?SELL0.79$11.06
10-15 14:38Will Omar Cooper Jr. have 899.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.77$14.63
10-15 13:50Will Apple (AAPL) Q4 Greater China revenue be above $16B?SELL0.26$5.20
10-15 08:37Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?SELL0.013$0.13
10-14 19:05Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-22 House election by 10%-15%?SELL0.72$14.40
10-14 18:38Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above $65B?SELL0.86$12.90
10-13 22:00Welltower (WELL) Q3 same store NOI (SSNOI) growth 21%+?BUY0.37$7.40