PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

av0gs8d7

0x4033cdd39f4e3bafd4d1bae61cb0704fbca678f8

Realised P&L
$-685.92
Volume
$41.2k
Markets traded
101
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded101
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.2201.000$2.3k+$1.8k
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? · No0.4991.000$320.00+$160.14
Will Mayhem (Lady Gaga) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · No0.7931.000$216.00+$44.65
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? · Yes0.6201.000$210.00+$79.80
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes0.1701.000$205.00+$170.15
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.4401.000$193.00+$108.08
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Detroit speech on Tuesday? · No0.8401.000$119.00+$19.04
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? · Yes0.5721.000$111.00+$47.49
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? · No0.8001.000$82.00+$16.40
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.4600.949$60.70+$31.26
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? · No0.8501.000$44.00+$6.61
Will Delta say "Acquisition" during earnings call? · Yes0.6501.000$40.00+$14.00
Cerebras IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8001.000$35.00+$7.00
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.3801.000$32.00+$19.84
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? · Yes0.7401.000$22.00+$5.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-01 00:46Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?BUY0.2802652174$12.89
02-01 00:45Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026?BUY0.34084$1.70
01-26 00:06Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?BUY0.62$130.20
01-21 11:12Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?BUY0.17$2.55
01-21 11:08Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?BUY0.8497272727$37.39
01-21 11:04Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?BUY0.189$1.89
01-21 10:17Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026BUY0.6$4.20
01-13 04:27Will Trump say "TrumpRx.gov" or "TrumpRx.com" or "TrumpRx" in January?BUY0.76$10.64
01-13 04:18Will Delta say "Acquisition" during earnings call?BUY0.65$26.00
01-13 04:14Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.33996$8.50
01-13 04:12Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.33$5.61
01-13 04:10Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.25$14.25
01-13 03:50Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.17$34.85
01-13 03:35SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY0.74$16.28
01-13 03:34Cerebras IPO before 2027?BUY0.8$20.00