av0gs8d7
0x4033cdd39f4e3bafd4d1bae61cb0704fbca678f8
- Realised P&L
- $-685.92
- Volume
- $41.2k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$844.50at 0.144Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
- +$265.52at 0.576Will it Snow in Washington D.C. this December?
- +$250.00at 0.800Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?
- +$101.55at 0.451Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on December 7?
- +$90.63at 0.430Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-01 00:46 | Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? | BUY | 0.2802652174 | $12.89 |
| 02-01 00:45 | Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? | BUY | 0.34084 | $1.70 |
| 01-26 00:06 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $130.20 |
| 01-21 11:12 | Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.55 |
| 01-21 11:08 | Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? | BUY | 0.8497272727 | $37.39 |
| 01-21 11:04 | Will Dua Lipa perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.189 | $1.89 |
| 01-21 10:17 | Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | BUY | 0.6 | $4.20 |
| 01-13 04:27 | Will Trump say "TrumpRx.gov" or "TrumpRx.com" or "TrumpRx" in January? | BUY | 0.76 | $10.64 |
| 01-13 04:18 | Will Delta say "Acquisition" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.65 | $26.00 |
| 01-13 04:14 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.33996 | $8.50 |
| 01-13 04:12 | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.33 | $5.61 |
| 01-13 04:10 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.25 | $14.25 |
| 01-13 03:50 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $34.85 |
| 01-13 03:35 | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $16.28 |
| 01-13 03:34 | Cerebras IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $20.00 |