0x40308Aa9276100fF326DcCc2b4326aD21Cd6292F-1769586894072
0x40308aa9276100ff326dccc2b4326ad21cd6292f
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $0.43
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar13.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.43 | −$3.97 |
| XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5AM ET · Down | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.370Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 2?
- +$0.26at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?
- +$0.23at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4?
- +$0.22at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12?
- +$0.18at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 06:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.988 | $13.90 |
| 08-12 06:48 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9989999846 | $30.50 |
| 08-11 06:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.50 |
| 08-11 06:20 | Will XRP reach $1.20 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.60 |
| 08-10 07:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.50 |
| 08-10 07:34 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.50 |
| 08-06 07:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9979999637 | $13.60 |
| 08-06 07:01 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 6? | BUY | 0.996 | $33.60 |
| 07-31 07:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.9989999562 | $13.40 |
| 07-31 07:30 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.90 |
| 07-29 06:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.99 | $13.40 |
| 07-29 06:11 | Will XRP dip to $0.85 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.60 |
| 07-24 06:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.90 |
| 07-24 06:56 | Will XRP reach $1.25 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.60 |
| 07-23 06:43 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23? | BUY | 0.9989999978 | $31.90 |