PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

YieldingFlow

0x4030602071a18adefd1f6f261b9752fa16462955

Realised P&L
$-156.79
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$4.80

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0560.018$3.30$6.70
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0050.002$1.50$3.50
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$10.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? · Yes0.3930.000$0.00$7.69
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00$10.00
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00$175.00
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 01:17Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.005$5.00
05-10 01:17Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0559999949$10.00
05-08 09:36Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?BUY0.3499999842$10.00
05-02 04:13Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?SELL0.002$0.40
05-01 01:41Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0739999932$10.00
05-01 01:40Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.32$10.00
04-27 09:31Will Solana reach $100 in April?SELL0.0138287315$1.38
04-27 09:31Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of April?SELL0.0546651458$3.35
04-24 05:48Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
04-24 05:43Thunder vs. SunsBUY0.209999974$4.76
04-24 05:38Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.2599999646$5.00
04-24 05:37Lakers vs. RocketsBUY0.2699999681$4.78
04-24 05:36Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?BUY0.25$4.78
04-24 05:33Will Solana reach $100 in April?BUY0.0699999914$6.50
04-23 04:49Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of April?BUY0.4073456979$25.00