YieldingFlow
0x4030602071a18adefd1f6f261b9752fa16462955
- Realised P&L
- $-156.79
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $4.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.018 | $3.30 | −$6.70 |
| Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $1.50 | −$3.50 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? · Yes | 0.393 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.69 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$175.00 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.86at 0.630Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$24.41at 0.170Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?
- +$20.72at 0.404Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$19.75at 0.380US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$14.23at 0.260Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 01:17 | Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 01:17 | Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.0559999949 | $10.00 |
| 05-08 09:36 | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 05-02 04:13 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 05-01 01:41 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0739999932 | $10.00 |
| 05-01 01:40 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 04-27 09:31 | Will Solana reach $100 in April? | SELL | 0.0138287315 | $1.38 |
| 04-27 09:31 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of April? | SELL | 0.0546651458 | $3.35 |
| 04-24 05:48 | Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 04-24 05:43 | Thunder vs. Suns | BUY | 0.209999974 | $4.76 |
| 04-24 05:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999646 | $5.00 |
| 04-24 05:37 | Lakers vs. Rockets | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $4.78 |
| 04-24 05:36 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.78 |
| 04-24 05:33 | Will Solana reach $100 in April? | BUY | 0.0699999914 | $6.50 |
| 04-23 04:49 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of April? | BUY | 0.4073456979 | $25.00 |