LordFun
0x402deabda74c3245d8f254619bd4eb8481905c07
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $16.9k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $37.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.39at 0.756Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 20?
- +$30.72at 0.715Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$30.41at 0.818Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?
- +$28.60at 0.623Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 25?
- +$14.30at 0.583Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on April 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 07:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.4800156524 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 07:13 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5148514831 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 07:13 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 07:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.0363636364 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | BUY | 0.449999964 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 21:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 21:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 17:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 17:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |