hermesss123
0x4025a99c01cbf42511f850865d76d0eba75088b6
- Realised P&L
- $8.2k
- Volume
- $1.85M
- Markets traded
- 2,197
- Open portfolio
- $15.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,197
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 15? · Yes | 0.951 | 0.995 | $5.3k | +$235.10 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 15? · No | 0.969 | 0.986 | $5.1k | +$85.91 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.975 | $4.3k | −$3.87 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $225 on October 15? · No | 0.978 | 0.998 | $538.42 | +$10.66 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on October 15? · No | 0.990 | 0.997 | $19.94 | +$0.14 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 15? · Yes | 0.990 | 0.986 | $19.71 | −$0.09 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $235 on October 15? · No | 0.990 | 0.998 | $9.97 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.896Will Google (GOOGL) close above $365 on July 22?
- +$775.17at 0.959S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 16?
- +$565.09at 0.945Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?
- +$516.45at 0.942S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 29?
- +$481.25at 0.949Will Google (GOOGL) close above $355 on July 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 16:03 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.9817333333 | $736.30 |
| 10-15 16:03 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.98356 | $245.89 |
| 10-15 16:02 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 10-15 16:02 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 10-15 16:02 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 10-15 16:02 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 10-15 16:01 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $277.19 |
| 10-15 15:17 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $484.98 |
| 10-15 15:16 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $485.00 |
| 10-15 15:16 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $566.68 |
| 10-15 15:16 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $194.00 |
| 10-15 15:15 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $291.00 |
| 10-15 15:15 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 15? | BUY | 0.97 | $485.00 |
| 10-15 15:10 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on October 15? | BUY | 0.99 | $19.80 |
| 10-15 11:38 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on October 15? | BUY | 0.954 | $20.75 |