cryptohaveninc
0x40210dbc7bf243675b8f622541b61bc762041a51
- Realised P&L
- $-512.15
- Volume
- $47.0k
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $81.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.25at 0.522 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$93.23at 0.305Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
- +$86.87at 0.291Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
- +$76.67at 0.450US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$45.56at 0.180US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-01 01:57 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9870926756 | $132.07 |
| 08-30 13:26 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999983 | $95.00 |
| 08-24 01:39 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $11.89 |
| 08-24 01:39 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | SELL | 0.0227704182 | $3.35 |
| 08-24 01:39 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.79 |
| 08-24 01:38 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 08-24 01:38 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $14.74 |
| 08-24 01:38 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.049 | $9.42 |
| 08-24 01:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.31 |
| 08-24 01:37 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.79 |
| 08-24 01:36 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.4575675669 | $50.00 |
| 08-23 22:34 | Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.4809788727 | $200.00 |
| 08-09 18:09 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $22.69 |
| 08-09 18:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $151.66 |
| 08-09 18:09 | NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31? | BUY | 0.7199999965 | $50.00 |