PolyBot

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Traders

Paisley2696

0x4020cb72622a1f1d8d493e142c0446b3d93535a9

Realised P&L
$-23.94
Volume
$20.3k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$18.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No0.9980.999$10.51+$0.01
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9990.999$4.20$0.00
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9991.000$3.90+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 16:18Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.999$4.20
09-13 18:40Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.998$10.50
09-12 06:43Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.998$7.29
09-07 09:14Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.999$7.30
09-06 07:52Will Koa Peat win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?SELL0.997$13.07
09-02 19:51Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.999$3.90
08-31 15:12Will Koa Peat win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.999$13.10
08-29 14:52Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.997$10.19
08-28 00:35Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.998$10.20
08-24 18:55Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.999$7.49
08-24 18:52Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.998$12.39
08-13 11:02Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.999$2.80
08-10 19:17Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9989999342$7.50
08-03 07:41Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.999$9.60
07-29 21:50Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.998$3.49