soha114
0x40144ba51bac00683500dbc771f0caaf19cf27bf
- Realised P&L
- $6.5k
- Volume
- $119.4k
- Markets traded
- 169
- Open portfolio
- $34.72
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded169
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes | 0.173 | 0.060 | $34.72 | −$65.28 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-15? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.375Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$2.2kat 0.323Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$795.20at 0.205Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$731.63at 0.756Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$600.63at 0.338Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 19:10 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.5099999992 | $300.00 |
| 10-17 16:04 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.6799999999 | $1000.00 |
| 10-17 16:03 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.26 | $150.00 |
| 10-15 14:16 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.3699999997 | $200.00 |
| 10-14 18:28 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5099999992 | $300.00 |
| 10-11 15:24 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.48 | $300.00 |
| 10-10 18:20 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $300.00 |
| 10-10 14:01 | Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999997 | $140.00 |
| 10-09 18:03 | Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.6890353504 | $500.00 |
| 09-27 17:28 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4199999993 | $200.00 |
| 09-27 17:14 | Will Norway vs. Portugal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 17:23 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.68 | $204.00 |
| 09-20 15:08 | Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-20 12:56 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.5799999991 | $200.00 |
| 09-20 09:21 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.74 | $740.00 |