kyErn
0x401339b57c9b0f86ecdbe919fad465adaa0cc4c1
- Realised P&L
- $-292.97
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $158.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.155 | $63.15 | +$2.45 |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $55.93 | −$2.07 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.620 | 0.625 | $20.16 | +$0.16 |
| Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.495 | $10.39 | −$0.10 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.415 | $9.22 | −$0.78 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.03 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.29 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 23? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.43 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.35 |
| FC Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.68at 0.567Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$17.23at 0.542Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5
- +$11.01at 0.472Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?
- +$10.66at 0.502Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?
- +$10.39at 0.661Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 05:20 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 10-15 05:17 | Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $10.50 |
| 10-14 05:09 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 05:06 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.4899999869 | $10.50 |
| 10-13 14:19 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $11.00 |
| 10-12 11:02 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6199999907 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 16:59 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 16:57 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | SELL | 0.98 | $21.30 |
| 10-11 13:07 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 17:19 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1299999908 | $1.70 |
| 10-10 15:06 | Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $30.73 |
| 10-10 13:05 | Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $37.69 |
| 10-10 05:33 | Chelsea FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 05:33 | Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 10-10 05:32 | Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.1 | $45.39 |