0x40120935af5116ebb40d4fe805aa80537da13183
0x40120935af5116ebb40d4fe805aa80537da13183
- Realised P&L
- $0.72
- Volume
- $108.44
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $7.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 9? · Yes | 0.951 | 0.993 | $2.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9? · No | 0.950 | 0.950 | $2.00 | −$0.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? · No | 0.950 | 0.934 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 10? · No | 0.950 | 0.900 | $1.89 | −$0.11 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 21? · No | 0.966 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.08at 0.963Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3?
- +$0.08at 0.963Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 3?
- +$0.08at 0.963Will Solana dip to $105 on September 21?
- +$0.08at 0.963Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 6?
- +$0.08at 0.963Solana Up or Down - September 23, 12PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 18:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 17:46 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on October 9? | BUY | 0.950999981 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 17:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 16:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.94999962 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 04:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9579999866 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 17:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9699998448 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 04:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $83,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 17:00 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on October 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 16:31 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 7? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 16:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 6? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 18:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.981999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 17:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.9679999884 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 16:15 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 04:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |