PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shawncosta

0x40109a1b2166b0d18d468dde130747701f2c547a

Realised P&L
$-60.79
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$36.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration87.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies · India0.7700.780$20.36+$0.26
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.7000.575$16.28−$3.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:05Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?BUY0.999$34.58
01-30 15:44Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January?BUY0.998$19.67
01-30 14:11Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.9979999975$30.67
01-30 11:47Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January?BUY0.996$40.63
12-30 09:45Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?BUY0.999$5.90
12-30 09:23Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.995$8.55
12-30 09:16Dogecoin all time high before 2026?BUY0.99799996$10.87
12-30 08:08Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame in 2025?BUY0.999$12.49
12-29 20:16Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?BUY0.999$12.62
12-29 20:06Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?BUY0.9989999874$29.60
12-29 19:53Will Trump pardon Do Kwon in 2025?BUY0.999$44.41
10-31 14:56Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.996$13.76
10-30 19:57Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$30.33
10-30 19:19Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$37.34
10-08 09:49Dogecoin all time high before 2026?SELL0.821$11.65