0x400f8c5a1f293d1b76c48eb9969dc73bea51cf89
0x400f8c5a1f293d1b76c48eb9969dc73bea51cf89
- Realised P&L
- $-1.24
- Volume
- $271.86
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $2.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.415 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.360 | 0.375 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.52at 0.260Will Russia target Kyiv on August 25, 2026?
- +$5.28at 0.308Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.84at 0.379Will Trump say "Kamala" during remarks in New York?
- +$2.98at 0.440Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $196 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$2.91at 0.440US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:49 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 16:18 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:43 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:47 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:58 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $185 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:36 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:21 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 01:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.69999972 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:43 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 05:06 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:01 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:50 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 08:21 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |