ytgfhtf
0x400d6f63ca510f776886cf6c4c21fb1ff44a3aab
- Realised P&L
- $40.85
- Volume
- $59.7k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $9.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? · No | 0.034 | 0.019 | $9.24 | −$7.29 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$52.31at 0.937Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$30.06at 0.975US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?
- +$23.99at 0.748Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
- +$3.21at 0.937US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
- +$1.82at 0.916Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 03:43 | Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9169998628 | $3.95 |
| 08-23 23:50 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.9511109696 | $4.1k |
| 08-23 05:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.4k |
| 08-22 01:15 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat? | SELL | 0.0245236277 | $96.57 |
| 08-22 01:00 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-30 House seat? | SELL | 0.029 | $2.96 |
| 08-21 07:40 | Will United Russia win the next Tomsk Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.035 | $12.99 |
| 08-19 00:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $346.20 |
| 07-10 10:30 | Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9979055252 | $52.92 |
| 06-23 11:13 | Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.966 | $51.12 |
| 06-14 11:04 | Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.994 | $50.87 |
| 05-20 03:47 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.9369999992 | $47.68 |
| 05-15 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 49°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.9989999932 | $47.63 |
| 04-25 14:45 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | BUY | 0.9959999875 | $47.43 |
| 03-20 05:02 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 4°C or below on March 21? | BUY | 0.996 | $47.27 |
| 03-07 10:32 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on March 8? | BUY | 0.9949999926 | $47.03 |