0x400A599D29a0136d7E30266E3936c03bc83E7411-1772429797803
0x400a599d29a0136d7e30266e3936c03bc83e7411
- Realised P&L
- $-55.53
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $20.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 26.75 and 27.5 million views on day 4? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.996 | $10.48 | +$5.43 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 27.5 and 28.25 million views on day 4? · No | 0.500 | 0.999 | $9.98 | +$4.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.88at 0.360LoL: DOCISK vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner
- +$8.05at 0.380Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 30?
- +$7.50at 0.400Game Handicap: TSW (-2.5) vs CTBC Flying Oyster (+2.5)
- +$6.62at 0.430LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner
- +$6.11at 0.450LoL: MAGAZA vs REDPack Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-18 01:42 | Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $4.52 |
| 04-08 14:55 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.87 |