0x4004D0396DC49199efda87Ca9c29691CD787C5DE-1772138473676
0x4004d0396dc49199efda87ca9c29691cd787c5de
- Realised P&L
- $11.0k
- Volume
- $89.3k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $455.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.3kat 0.015US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$753.79at 0.329US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$280.06at 0.090Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$236.29at 0.469Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$56.52at 0.206Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 15:37 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.4087988997 | $12.00 |
| 07-22 15:35 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 07-19 16:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999994 | $139.00 |
| 07-19 16:27 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.411 | $120.39 |
| 07-14 20:33 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1979999979 | $58.00 |
| 07-14 17:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999998 | $400.00 |
| 07-09 18:18 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $97.39 |
| 07-07 19:25 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2699999914 | $14.84 |
| 07-07 17:03 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.4 | $6.00 |
| 07-05 19:12 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 06-14 15:02 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | BUY | 0.1591719873 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 09:10 | Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0059999994 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 09:09 | Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $10.00 |
| 06-08 14:20 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.2075479226 | $71.78 |
| 06-08 13:15 | Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | BUY | 0.0831107903 | $10.00 |