PolyBot

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Traders

0x4004D0396DC49199efda87Ca9c29691CD787C5DE-1772138473676

0x4004d0396dc49199efda87ca9c29691cd787c5de

Realised P&L
$11.0k
Volume
$89.3k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$455.21

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar12.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1100.065$318.50$220.50
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0520.055$123.63+$6.65
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0050.005$11.00+$1.00
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.001$1.25$8.75
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0060.001$0.83$9.16
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$50.00
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$50.00
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.0900.000$0.00$10.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$10.00
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? · Yes0.1870.000$0.00$45.00
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00$26.22
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$8.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$10.00
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$50.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 15:37Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.4087988997$12.00
07-22 15:35Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$12.00
07-19 16:31Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1099999994$139.00
07-19 16:27Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.411$120.39
07-14 20:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1979999979$58.00
07-14 17:29Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1099999998$400.00
07-09 18:18Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.05$97.39
07-07 19:25Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2699999914$14.84
07-07 17:03Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.4$6.00
07-05 19:12Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$30.00
06-14 15:02Israel closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.1591719873$20.00
06-14 09:10Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0059999994$10.00
06-14 09:09Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.004$10.00
06-08 14:20Israel closes its airspace by June 15?SELL0.2075479226$71.78
06-08 13:15Israel closes its airspace by June 8?BUY0.0831107903$10.00