brodyga45
0x400147f1da27487a86e383cc63c9fc433243826d
- Realised P&L
- $-440.21
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $556.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.75at 0.379Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$144.83at 0.580Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
- +$82.52at 0.450Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
- +$64.44at 0.450Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$63.24at 0.330DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 19:18 | NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? | BUY | 0.3308525874 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 18:56 | EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by November 30? | BUY | 0.4423809524 | $74.32 |
| 10-30 18:51 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.2406317673 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 18:38 | Trump meets with Putin by November 30? | BUY | 0.2278080311 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 18:33 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.58 |
| 10-11 14:13 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.5179282846 | $100.00 |
| 10-04 22:00 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.369999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 12:16 | GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3529411756 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 10:47 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | SELL | 0.5 | $132.52 |
| 09-22 10:03 | Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? | BUY | 0.3772913185 | $100.00 |
| 08-23 12:31 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | SELL | 0.66 | $264.00 |
| 08-23 12:23 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.48 | $192.00 |
| 05-11 02:34 | Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? | SELL | 0.007 | $1.47 |
| 05-11 02:34 | Human moon landing in 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $2.68 |
| 05-11 02:33 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.4999631219 | $380.96 |