PolyBot

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Traders

brodyga45

0x400147f1da27487a86e383cc63c9fc433243826d

Realised P&L
$-440.21
Volume
$21.0k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$556.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks? · Yes0.3310.495$149.61+$49.61
GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3530.480$136.00+$36.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.2410.243$101.19+$1.19
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by November 30? · Yes0.4420.550$92.40+$18.08
Trump meets with Putin by November 30? · No0.2280.175$76.82−$23.18
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$50.00
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$50.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? · No0.1530.000$0.00−$250.00
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.1690.000$0.00−$350.00
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? · No0.2030.000$0.00−$50.00
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 19:18NATO downs another Russian drone before Russia x Ukraine peace talks?BUY0.3308525874$100.00
10-30 18:56EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by November 30?BUY0.4423809524$74.32
10-30 18:51Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?BUY0.2406317673$100.00
10-30 18:38Trump meets with Putin by November 30?BUY0.2278080311$100.00
10-30 18:33US imports Russian diesel by October 31?SELL0.003$0.58
10-11 14:13US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.5179282846$100.00
10-04 22:00Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.369999999$100.00
09-28 12:16GPT-7 released by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3529411756$100.00
09-28 10:47Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?SELL0.5$132.52
09-22 10:03Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?BUY0.3772913185$100.00
08-23 12:31Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsSELL0.66$264.00
08-23 12:23Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsBUY0.48$192.00
05-11 02:34Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?SELL0.007$1.47
05-11 02:34Human moon landing in 2026?SELL0.031$2.68
05-11 02:33Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.4999631219$380.96