0x3ff5f83376ea9665c79bc2e2941437444f98327e
0x3ff5f83376ea9665c79bc2e2941437444f98327e
- Realised P&L
- $49.40
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 409
- Open portfolio
- $2.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded409
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| European Open: Mariano Navone vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo · Mariano Navone | 0.600 | 0.545 | $2.73 | −$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.74at 0.452Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$19.90at 0.602Will France win on 2026-07-14?
- +$16.58at 0.447Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5
- +$16.43at 0.452Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)
- +$13.68at 0.537Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:50 | Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 52.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $3.24 |
| 10-18 10:18 | European Open: Mariano Navone vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-18 10:10 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-18 09:54 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-18 08:51 | Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-18 08:18 | Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 10-18 07:26 | Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 10-18 06:58 | Will Paris FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.54 | $3.24 |
| 10-18 04:36 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-18 04:20 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-18 00:52 | Bruins vs. Kings | BUY | 0.58 | $4.06 |
| 10-17 10:30 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-17 08:39 | Penguins vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.67 | $4.69 |
| 10-17 07:38 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BUY | 0.78 | $4.68 |
| 08-19 14:00 | Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |