apin9
0x3ff52c20e02bea0e5095a1b15986b4ee9993d41d
- Realised P&L
- $-121.58
- Volume
- $916.00
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $59.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.737 | 0.220 | $59.40 | −$139.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.68at 0.942Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$7.00at 0.930Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$4.00at 0.960Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?
- +$-5.65at 0.230Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-30 07:38 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $20.34 |
| 01-29 18:45 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $25.99 |
| 01-17 18:25 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7370725926 | $199.01 |
| 12-17 14:24 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.986 | $118.32 |
| 12-07 08:42 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.89 | $89.00 |
| 12-07 08:32 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 10-20 12:18 | Will the Government shutdown end by October 24? | BUY | 0.96 | $96.00 |