0x3FF50dC48E4C98a4EE4d11a653cDD656911be66B-1774114998004
0x3ff50dc48e4c98a4ee4d11a653cdd656911be66b
- Realised P&L
- $-70.64
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $42.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.280 | $42.00 | −$48.00 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? · Yes | 0.271 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.91at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
- +$5.00at 0.623Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
- +$-6.43at 0.036Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-03 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.73 |
| 04-03 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $4.80 |
| 03-28 15:35 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | SELL | 0.013 | $3.57 |
| 03-21 18:24 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $90.00 |
| 03-21 18:18 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0184413041 | $10.00 |
| 03-21 18:16 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2710000074 | $10.00 |
| 03-21 18:15 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0364244896 | $10.00 |
| 03-21 18:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | SELL | 0.35 | $11.54 |
| 03-21 18:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.299999982 | $9.78 |