0x3Ff4a50B6Eb285ccaC8cB4f7D06F6f667c5a7EBb-1728009496983
0x3ff4a50b6eb285ccac8cb4f7d06f6f667c5a7ebb
- Realised P&L
- $-87.7k
- Volume
- $5.41M
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.043 | $1.0k | +$1.90 |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.631 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.7k |
| Rockets vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.577 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$777.00 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.372 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.5k |
| Warriors vs. Timberwolves · Warriors | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Lakers vs. Knicks · Lakers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Thunder vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$197.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.99 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Lakers vs. Suns · Lakers | 0.377 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$550.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Hornets · Mavericks | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$331.13 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
| Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$176.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.0kat 0.215Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.9kat 0.355Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$4.0kat 0.749Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$3.5kat 0.350Warriors vs. Mavericks
- +$2.4kat 0.557Knicks vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:43 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0424202561 | $1.0k |
| 07-19 21:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.9117220652 | $22.7k |
| 07-19 21:15 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7396604127 | $18.5k |
| 07-19 18:49 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.584 | $29.5k |
| 07-14 01:52 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2119999995 | $296.82 |
| 07-14 01:51 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.389 | $303.88 |
| 07-14 01:51 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2119999999 | $1.7k |
| 07-14 01:50 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.389 | $1.8k |
| 07-14 01:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.212 | $7.4k |
| 07-14 01:44 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.389 | $7.9k |
| 07-10 12:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1659999999 | $985.70 |
| 07-10 12:44 | Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.25 | $900.00 |
| 07-10 12:21 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3859999998 | $988.00 |
| 07-10 11:54 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3859999998 | $1.2k |
| 07-10 11:44 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.386 | $10.0k |