shtanga0x-x
0x3fec6926255ec2eec1b4c8bdf4e4bad34025728e
- Realised P&L
- $3.1k
- Volume
- $1.74M
- Markets traded
- 734
- Open portfolio
- $572.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded734
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.745 | $372.50 | +$162.50 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.784 | 0.135 | $179.23 | −$861.25 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.125 | $12.50 | −$37.50 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.085 | $8.50 | −$52.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.1kat 0.747Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
- +$5.6kat 0.709US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$3.9kat 0.530Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?
- +$3.8kat 0.754Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?
- +$2.9kat 0.738Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 21:12 | Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Black Phoenix (+1.5) | BUY | 0.001 | $0.26 |
| 08-04 21:08 | LoL: Zeu5 Esports vs 3v Team (BO5) - LRN Playoffs | BUY | 0.3 | $643.65 |
| 08-03 19:40 | Will AD San Carlos win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.9878760177 | $191.71 |
| 08-03 19:38 | Escorpiones de Belén to score first vs. AD San Carlos? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.2k |
| 08-03 19:38 | AD San Carlos vs. Escorpiones de Belén: Neither team to score first? | BUY | 0.99 | $990.00 |
| 08-03 19:29 | Will AD San Carlos vs. Escorpiones de Belén end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9549955275 | $973.68 |
| 08-03 19:22 | Will AD San Carlos win on 2026-07-25? | BUY | 0.25 | $187.50 |
| 07-30 13:53 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.8240327337 | $251.49 |
| 07-30 12:53 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.801 | $80.10 |
| 07-12 13:51 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 21:11 | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.999 | $761.24 |
| 06-28 12:44 | Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.95 | $723.90 |
| 06-27 16:16 | Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.0k |
| 06-27 16:14 | Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.0k |
| 06-27 16:13 | Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.0k |