Cangryman2020
0x3fec2e1470cbdaba72b36e2de6f02a56249d2b67
- Realised P&L
- $-98.3k
- Volume
- $1.83M
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $16.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.315 | $5.1k | +$83.63 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.413 | 0.385 | $4.7k | −$337.51 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.365 | $4.3k | −$705.38 |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.125 | $1.9k | −$57.99 |
| FL-1 special election: Valimont (D) vs. Patronis (R) · Valimont | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · No | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.5k |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots · Patriots | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.8k |
| Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.3kat 0.598Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
- +$21.0kat 0.500Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
- +$8.1kat 0.460US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
- +$5.7kat 0.215Will Republicans control 220 seats in the House after the election?
- +$4.4kat 0.830Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 05:41 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3098186507 | $5.0k |
| 11-02 05:40 | Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4128701779 | $5.0k |
| 11-02 05:39 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.424950391 | $5.0k |
| 11-02 05:39 | Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1287334686 | $2.0k |
| 11-02 05:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.9684117207 | $31.3k |
| 02-27 00:19 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $26.9k |
| 02-08 19:34 | Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? | BUY | 0.4671419501 | $514.99 |
| 02-07 07:18 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.32 | $8.2k |
| 10-15 20:43 | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $92.00 |
| 07-03 06:24 | Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3? | BUY | 0.7 | $17.50 |
| 03-02 21:36 | Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? | BUY | 0.0447878304 | $211.09 |
| 02-25 05:12 | Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28? | BUY | 0.1 | $890.98 |
| 02-25 05:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025? | BUY | 0.0088705882 | $6.79 |
| 02-10 01:56 | Super Bowl LIX Winner | BUY | 0.0705522902 | $6.7k |
| 02-10 00:45 | Super Bowl LIX Winner | BUY | 0.22 | $636.44 |