0x16551E299bcCcB6f8f689936640734cB7401Ec38-1774801540741
0x3fe812a22aab1cd74e96a27fb0e524a7a4eaeee5
- Realised P&L
- $-0.08
- Volume
- $441.70
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $53.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.935 | 0.961 | $32.37 | +$0.86 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? · No | 0.660 | 0.635 | $18.41 | −$0.72 |
| Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.051 | $1.24 | +$0.19 |
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.055 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.002 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 22:40 | Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.01 |
| 08-11 22:13 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.935 | $31.51 |
| 08-11 22:09 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? | BUY | 0.0437291667 | $1.05 |
| 08-11 20:27 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 Action of the Year? | BUY | 0.66 | $19.14 |
| 08-11 20:12 | Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |