spigniste
0x3fe44bca915e418918dbd4fd0eccd1dcb8fd8676
- Realised P&L
- $-102.93
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $21.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.77at 0.328Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$36.53at 0.123Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$21.55at 0.321Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
- +$17.61at 0.225Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?
- +$13.41at 0.276Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 03:33 | Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:33 | Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:31 | Will Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:31 | Will Venezia FC vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:31 | Will Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:31 | Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:31 | Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:31 | Will US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:31 | Will Frosinone Calcio vs. Torino FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:30 | Will SS Lazio vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:30 | Will Como 1907 vs. Venezia FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:30 | Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:30 | Will Udinese Calcio vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:30 | Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Monza end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 03:28 | Lakers vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.54 | $8.10 |