PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

gfvjngff854654

0x3fde83084ffb1e79f23446a908dd65986283c478

Realised P&L
$-49.67
Volume
$20.6k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$4.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8400.825$4.91−$0.09
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$3.50
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 4? · No0.5600.000$0.00−$5.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$5.00
Will "In the Grey" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.9600.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 12:04Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.97$2.2k
08-11 12:04Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.971$2.2k
06-11 06:25Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.84$5.00
06-11 06:25Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.4599999595$5.00
05-16 08:33Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.964$4.5k
05-16 08:27Will "In the Grey" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.96$6.00
05-16 08:27Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil MedvedevBUY0.9179999165$10.00
01-26 15:16Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.995$552.44
01-24 12:36Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.996$553.00
09-17 11:41Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?BUY0.1899999766$6.00
09-17 11:41Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.1399999787$5.00
09-17 11:41Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.1699999621$3.50
07-01 14:41Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?BUY0.4899999814$10.00
07-01 14:41No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?BUY0.8299999967$5.00
07-01 14:40Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?BUY0.717$10.00