PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

D1bdub

0x3fdb6f0962f476617c07df358cc706c309ce6919

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$116.3k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$10.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%? · Yes0.0820.052$10.40−$6.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$290.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · No0.2550.000$0.00−$891.80
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by September 30? · Yes0.6330.000$0.00−$6.2k
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1090.000$0.00−$109.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$270.00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by October 31? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$1.8k
Will Russia capture Siversk by August 31? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00−$1.2k
Will the Christian Democratic Appeal win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$116.85
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$187.00
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$570.00
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July? · No0.1440.000$0.00−$319.02
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$22.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.5370.000$0.00−$751.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 01:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7$49.00
06-19 01:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7$210.00
06-19 01:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.7$420.00
06-14 06:44Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.27$270.00
06-14 00:25Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.63$630.00
06-13 10:10Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.57$570.00
06-13 02:42Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.63$504.00
06-12 13:55Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.23$229.82
06-12 13:53Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.25$5.00
06-12 13:52Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.24$2.40
06-12 13:51Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.2488888889$22.40
06-12 13:45Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.25$249.96
06-12 13:41Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.27$132.39
06-12 13:40Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.26$20.80
06-12 13:40Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.26$28.60