D1bdub
0x3fdb6f0962f476617c07df358cc706c309ce6919
- Realised P&L
- $-2.6k
- Volume
- $116.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $10.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.467Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.570Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?
- +$1.2kat 0.529Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
- +$653.41at 0.637Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$492.50at 0.507Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 01:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $49.00 |
| 06-19 01:52 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $210.00 |
| 06-19 01:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $420.00 |
| 06-14 06:44 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.27 | $270.00 |
| 06-14 00:25 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.63 | $630.00 |
| 06-13 10:10 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.57 | $570.00 |
| 06-13 02:42 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.63 | $504.00 |
| 06-12 13:55 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.23 | $229.82 |
| 06-12 13:53 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 06-12 13:52 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 06-12 13:51 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.2488888889 | $22.40 |
| 06-12 13:45 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.25 | $249.96 |
| 06-12 13:41 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.27 | $132.39 |
| 06-12 13:40 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.26 | $20.80 |
| 06-12 13:40 | Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.26 | $28.60 |