Florian7408
0x3fd06e0bd90bbbc42bdcb5b27577e5ab4a4df809
- Realised P&L
- $-20.28
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $7.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.84at 0.190Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
- +$4.56at 0.180Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?
- +$4.08at 0.850Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$3.52at 0.460Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?
- +$3.07at 0.830Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-28 08:56 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0400833734 | $1.00 |
| 01-28 08:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $0.99 |
| 01-28 08:42 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.4 | $3.82 |
| 01-28 08:41 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $0.99 |
| 01-28 08:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.33999983 | $0.97 |
| 01-28 08:38 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | SELL | 0.34 | $1.49 |
| 01-28 08:36 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.2263777932 | $0.98 |
| 01-28 08:28 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.0375756209 | $5.00 |
| 01-28 08:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $0.99 |
| 01-28 08:19 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 01-28 08:18 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.4539997875 | $1.00 |
| 01-28 08:16 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 01-18 10:37 | Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 01-18 10:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 01-14 17:59 | Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5345264036 | $5.00 |