PolyBot

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Traders

Florian7408

0x3fd06e0bd90bbbc42bdcb5b27577e5ab4a4df809

Realised P&L
$-20.28
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$7.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January? · Yes0.1601.000$6.25+$5.25
Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5340.085$0.79$4.21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.2300.000$0.00$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET · Up0.2950.000$0.00$9.63
Will Trump say "China" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29? · Yes0.8700.000$0.00$24.64
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 12PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$2.00
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$2.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 December 15-21? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump and Xi shake hands for between 2 and 6 seconds on October 30, 2025? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$2.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-28 08:56Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.0400833734$1.00
01-28 08:55Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETBUY0.1299998986$0.99
01-28 08:42Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSELL0.4$3.82
01-28 08:41Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.1499998875$0.99
01-28 08:40Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.33999983$0.97
01-28 08:38Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSELL0.34$1.49
01-28 08:36Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETBUY0.2263777932$0.98
01-28 08:28Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.0375756209$5.00
01-28 08:22Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETBUY0.2099998677$0.99
01-28 08:19Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of February?BUY0.4099998237$1.00
01-28 08:18Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?BUY0.4539997875$1.00
01-28 08:16Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
01-18 10:37Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?BUY0.16$1.00
01-18 10:37Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?BUY0.429999828$1.00
01-14 17:59Will BNB reach $1400 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5345264036$5.00