PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

catnipper

0x3fcd479c35f36e9a7abd4c46539a82e3503d3225

Realised P&L
$717.77
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$83.18

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar20.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · Yes0.1520.127$83.18−$16.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-25 15:37Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?BUY0.5699999983$100.00
10-21 09:31Viktor Orbán arrested by...?BUY0.1520717169$100.00
04-09 06:52Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.7099999984$18.12
03-31 21:51Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.6299999998$800.00
03-16 16:53Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?BUY0.9639999978$100.00
03-16 16:52Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?BUY0.9399999996$100.00
02-26 09:03Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.92$100.00
02-25 08:32Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?BUY0.8299999993$100.00
02-25 08:21US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?BUY0.4899999966$50.00
02-25 07:52Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?BUY0.9113884367$100.00
02-25 07:52Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16?BUY0.9497202124$100.00
02-24 10:01Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16?BUY0.966$100.00
02-24 09:30Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.9419999998$100.00
02-23 19:57US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?BUY0.984$100.00
02-23 19:35Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?BUY0.4899999999$150.00