catnipper
0x3fcd479c35f36e9a7abd4c46539a82e3503d3225
- Realised P&L
- $717.77
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $83.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar20.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · Yes | 0.152 | 0.127 | $83.18 | −$16.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$477.24at 0.631Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$156.12at 0.490Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?
- +$75.44at 0.570Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$52.04at 0.490US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$20.48at 0.830Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 15:37 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5699999983 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 09:31 | Viktor Orbán arrested by...? | BUY | 0.1520717169 | $100.00 |
| 04-09 06:52 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.7099999984 | $18.12 |
| 03-31 21:51 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.6299999998 | $800.00 |
| 03-16 16:53 | Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | BUY | 0.9639999978 | $100.00 |
| 03-16 16:52 | Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 02-26 09:03 | Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 02-25 08:32 | Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16? | BUY | 0.8299999993 | $100.00 |
| 02-25 08:21 | US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999966 | $50.00 |
| 02-25 07:52 | Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16? | BUY | 0.9113884367 | $100.00 |
| 02-25 07:52 | Will Paris Saint-Germain advance to the round of 16? | BUY | 0.9497202124 | $100.00 |
| 02-24 10:01 | Will Bayer Leverkusen advance to the round of 16? | BUY | 0.966 | $100.00 |
| 02-24 09:30 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.9419999998 | $100.00 |
| 02-23 19:57 | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $100.00 |
| 02-23 19:35 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23? | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $150.00 |