0x3fca6f2e0ddf2b16e83de722b28869679ece144e
0x3fca6f2e0ddf2b16e83de722b28869679ece144e
- Realised P&L
- $25.78
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 206
- Open portfolio
- $6.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded206
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.56at 0.297Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$11.94at 0.307Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
- +$10.34at 0.338Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$9.72at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
- +$8.24at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 10:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 10:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 04:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 17:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |