PolyBot

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Traders

0x3fca6f2e0ddf2b16e83de722b28869679ece144e

0x3fca6f2e0ddf2b16e83de722b28869679ece144e

Realised P&L
$25.78
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
206
Open portfolio
$6.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded206
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Dana White's Contender Series: Zaurbek Sabanov vs. Adama Diop (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Zaurbek Sabanov0.7900.755$4.78−$0.22
Dana White's Contender Series: Camila Reynoso vs. Aieza Bertolso (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) · Aieza Bertolso0.8000.805$1.01+$0.01
Dana White's Contender Series: George Staines vs. Loai Abushaar (Lightweight, Main Card) · George Staines0.7700.745$0.97−$0.03
UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims) · Norma Dumont0.4100.000$0.00−$1.00
Dana White's Contender Series: Bella Mir vs. Alex Apodaca (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card) · Bella Mir0.9280.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Down0.8300.000$0.00−$1.00
US Open, Qualification WTA: Madison Brengle vs Anastasia Gasanova · Anastasia Gasanova0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Up0.2700.000$0.00−$1.00
UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) · Vanessa Demopoulos0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET · Up0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Genoa 2: Lukas Neumayer vs Luka Mikrut · Lukas Neumayer0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET · Up0.6600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 10:07Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-29 10:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-29 10:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETBUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-29 04:42Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-28 18:06Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-28 18:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-28 18:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.1299999948$1.00
09-28 18:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETBUY0.32$5.00
09-28 17:57Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.29999994$1.00
09-28 17:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-28 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-28 17:53Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-28 17:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.5$1.00
09-28 17:50Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY0.3499999825$1.00
09-28 17:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY0.3899999337$1.00