PolyBot

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Traders

Jakoftheshadows

0x3fc997afdeea6dc9a1ffa7052efed840388d4524

Realised P&L
$-390.37
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$442.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:21Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.87$4.83
10-31 19:35Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.7799999891$50.00
10-31 19:33Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.8099999877$50.00
10-31 18:48Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?SELL0.964$28.41
10-31 12:47Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?SELL0.987$21.22
10-31 07:42Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?BUY0.8599999983$50.00
10-31 07:41Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?BUY0.8599999983$50.00
10-31 07:24Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?SELL0.85$39.41
10-31 07:23Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?SELL0.85$9.88
10-30 15:48Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.897$4.98
10-30 15:48Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?BUY0.91$5.00
10-30 15:48Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat?BUY0.92$5.00
10-30 15:48Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?BUY0.93$4.99
10-30 14:21Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9$5.00
10-30 14:21Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?BUY0.92$5.00