Jakoftheshadows
0x3fc997afdeea6dc9a1ffa7052efed840388d4524
- Realised P&L
- $-390.37
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $442.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.47at 0.421Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
- +$33.65at 0.861Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
- +$18.46at 0.849Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?
- +$3.88at 0.850LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
- +$3.34at 0.898Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:21 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.87 | $4.83 |
| 10-31 19:35 | Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999891 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 19:33 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999877 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 18:48 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | SELL | 0.964 | $28.41 |
| 10-31 12:47 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | SELL | 0.987 | $21.22 |
| 10-31 07:42 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 07:41 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 07:24 | Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.85 | $39.41 |
| 10-31 07:23 | Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat? | SELL | 0.85 | $9.88 |
| 10-30 15:48 | Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.897 | $4.98 |
| 10-30 15:48 | Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 15:48 | Will the Republican Party win the WA-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 15:48 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.99 |
| 10-30 14:21 | Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-30 14:21 | Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |