lovePM
0x3fbee474cec8a3ea6c1e93888c5ee0d54ceebc0e
- Realised P&L
- $-613.74
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $223.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $50 October 12-18? · No | 0.999 | 0.997 | $169.49 | −$0.34 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.998 | 0.997 | $29.89 | −$0.05 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.994 | $8.98 | −$0.03 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $4.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $5.00? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.02 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $120? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$156.48at 0.810LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A
- +$78.80at 0.900LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
- +$24.00at 0.920Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B
- +$19.60at 0.972Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?
- +$9.82at 0.979Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 11:25 | Will Solana dip to $50 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.999 | $169.83 |
| 10-12 01:33 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.75 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.01 |
| 10-12 01:33 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $120? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 01:32 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $30-$40 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 01:32 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of October 12 above $5.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 01:25 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 01:25 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 12 – Oct 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 10-11 15:20 | Will CZ post 100-119 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $155.84 |
| 10-09 08:24 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-09 08:20 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-09 08:20 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $3.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 10-09 08:17 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $201.60 |
| 10-08 10:46 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $201.80 |
| 09-14 07:32 | Will Solana reach $170 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.99 | $250.47 |
| 09-07 09:58 | Will Solana dip to $40 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $67.86 |