swmednjpA9024
0x3fbdf342250edf6246391774b1a9a943f0b41760
- Realised P&L
- $-328.21
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $1.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)5.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? · No | 0.340 | 0.420 | $1.27 | +$0.24 |
| Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.13 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.50 |
| Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? · No | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.50at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$2.69at 0.390Will Elon post "Soccer" on X this week?
- +$0.00at 0.240Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28?
- +$-0.01at 0.987Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$-0.04at 0.998Will the price of Solana be above $170 on October 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 05:05 | Will "World Cup" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast? | SELL | 0.0183333333 | $0.55 |
| 07-12 04:20 | Will Netflix say "World Cup" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.3456653992 | $7.27 |
| 07-12 02:21 | Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 07-11 23:47 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 28? | SELL | 0.24 | $2.40 |
| 07-11 23:07 | Will the announcers say "Blood," "Bloody," or "Bloodied" during Benoit Saint-Denis vs Paddy Pimblett? | SELL | 0.080109375 | $5.13 |
| 07-11 21:33 | Will "Left" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of July 13? | SELL | 0.01228125 | $0.47 |
| 07-11 20:41 | Will anyone say "Wife" during Love Island E35? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.13 |
| 07-11 20:34 | Will "House" be in the headlines this week? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.36 |
| 07-11 20:30 | Will "House" be in the headlines this week? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.48 |
| 07-11 20:16 | Will anyone say "Wife" during Love Island E35? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.35 |
| 07-11 19:34 | Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.3553163211 | $13.37 |
| 07-11 19:29 | Will Elon post "Soccer" on X this week? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.34 |
| 07-11 19:08 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.11 |
| 07-11 18:49 | Will Elon post "Soccer" on X this week? | SELL | 0.59 | $14.75 |
| 07-11 18:32 | Will Thor die in Avengers: Doomsday? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.14 |