0x3fba9c6b5a4faff7aa3e01c973670943c389e72f
0x3fba9c6b5a4faff7aa3e01c973670943c389e72f
- Realised P&L
- $3.26
- Volume
- $483.43
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $2.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.600 | $1.30 | +$0.30 |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.255 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.46at 0.217Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?
- +$4.62at 0.309Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
- +$4.06at 0.330Will anyone say "Coffee" during Big Brother E35?
- +$4.01at 0.339Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 17:06 | Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix <22%? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:17 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 22:50 | Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 14:49 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 06:47 | Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 22:45 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:41 | Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 05:46 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7889999101 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:31 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:27 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:24 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2019999612 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:20 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.2949999572 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:03 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:03 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |