0x3fb889f8db03d97876bf7d651f3b580d67aafc19
0x3fb889f8db03d97876bf7d651f3b580d67aafc19
- Realised P&L
- $-22.96
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $6.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.065 | $3.61 | −$6.39 |
| Will Costa Rica vs. Curaçao end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.145 | $2.79 | −$2.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.79at 0.301Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?
- +$12.14at 0.449Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros
- +$11.18at 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
- +$5.58at 0.422Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
- +$5.48at 0.496Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:43 | Will Costa Rica vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 21:42 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 19:31 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 04:43 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.6446280823 | $6.00 |
| 09-22 04:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 04:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 04:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 04:22 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants | SELL | 0.999 | $10.40 |
| 09-21 19:21 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 19:21 | Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 22:13 | Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 21:19 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros | SELL | 0.999 | $23.78 |
| 09-20 16:30 | Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 16:29 | Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 16:23 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.54 |