PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3f98ea3368914dd1dc41dd353501428d013f9742

Realised P&L
$-7.23
Volume
$344.88
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$1.08

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Titan launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2730.105$0.67$1.06
Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.065$0.20$0.80
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7100.080$0.11$0.89
Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes0.3530.035$0.11$0.98
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-14 10:35Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
03-14 10:35Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.18$0.25
03-14 10:35Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$1.05
01-07 08:45Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
01-07 08:45Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7199995392$1.00
12-29 12:38Weed rescheduled in 2025?SELL0.996$8.98
12-29 12:38Weed rescheduled in 2025?BUY0.9969999158$9.00
12-29 12:37Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?SELL0.997$8.98
12-29 12:34Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?BUY0.998$9.00
12-29 12:34Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?SELL0.996$8.98
12-29 12:33Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?BUY0.9969999158$9.00
12-29 12:32Trump out as President in 2025?SELL0.997$8.98
12-29 12:31Trump out as President in 2025?BUY0.9979998969$9.00
12-29 12:29Modi out in 2025?SELL0.995$8.96
12-29 12:28Modi out in 2025?BUY0.998$9.00