PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3F936896a5C9737D294840534990f5799d482c07-1772743928635

0x3f936896a5c9737d294840534990f5799d482c07

Realised P&L
$-644.12
Volume
$30.5k
Markets traded
176
Open portfolio
$813.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded176
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16? · Up0.6200.685$110.48+$10.48
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16? · Up0.7100.735$103.51+$3.51
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 16? · Yes0.7300.745$102.05+$2.05
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No0.9250.942$101.78+$1.78
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8500.865$101.76+$1.76
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 16? · Yes0.9300.930$100.00+$0.00
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 16? · Up0.6200.615$99.19−$0.81
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 16? · No0.9500.895$94.21−$5.79
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? · No0.8100.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.7000.000$0.00−$100.00
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 24? · Down0.8050.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Alibaba (BABA) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$5.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Down0.6450.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw? · No0.6120.000$0.00−$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 06:39NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.6199999984$100.00
10-16 06:36S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $780 on October 16?BUY0.95$100.00
10-16 06:36S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 16?BUY0.73$100.00
10-16 06:36S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on October 16?BUY0.9299999997$100.00
10-16 06:35S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.6199999984$100.00
10-16 06:35S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.7100591712$100.00
10-16 06:07Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.8499999996$100.00
10-13 01:30S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 13?BUY0.8891789431$100.00
10-06 21:50Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $232 in October?SELL0.61$67.03
10-05 23:40Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansSELL0.11$13.58
10-05 21:44Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.8099999993$100.00
10-05 05:01S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 5?SELL0.6$60.48
10-04 02:23Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY0.98$25.00
10-04 02:22Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $232 in October?BUY0.91$100.00
10-04 02:20S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 5?BUY0.496031746$50.00