PolyBot

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Traders

0x3f8A6050793c1282F8c2fe3538a35d6910A91e62-1780039203848

0x3f8a6050793c1282f8c2fe3538a35d6910a91e62

Realised P&L
$-342.46
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$33.69

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1300.125$19.23$0.77
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.895$8.95+$1.85
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.2360.075$4.76$10.24
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1500.022$0.75$4.25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.2580.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET · Up0.4300.000$0.00$5.00
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? · No0.3520.000$0.00$120.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$1.00
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$1.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$400.00
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? · No0.0260.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 01:32Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.59$58.49
07-19 01:31Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.409$34.94
07-19 01:31Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?SELL0.9846960557$33.95
07-17 08:38Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?BUY0.5799999983$20.00
07-17 08:35Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1299999951$20.00
07-17 08:33US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?BUY0.71$7.10
07-14 20:50Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.005$0.07
07-14 17:48Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.22$6.88
07-14 17:48Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?SELL0.85$10.75
07-14 17:48Iran leadership change by September 30?SELL0.1188382838$10.80
07-12 02:30Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.157$11.42
07-08 00:03Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1589999777$5.00
07-03 09:50Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1239999803$5.00
07-03 09:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1929999863$10.00
07-03 09:50Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3349999585$5.00