PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3f858e15a597740cf02f10d1e7dd96f7677678f2

Realised P&L
$-45.71
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
198
Open portfolio
$21.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded198
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Umar Nurmagomedov next? · Yes0.0330.208$6.34+$5.34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.0000.215$2.84+$2.84
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0990.104$2.11+$0.11
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Sean O'Malley next? · Yes0.0720.143$1.99+$0.99
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0750.070$1.85$0.15
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? · Yes0.0000.575$1.17+$1.17
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.3300.375$1.14+$0.14
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0000.207$1.11+$1.11
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.1100.115$1.05+$0.05
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.0000.135$0.84+$0.84
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0000.043$0.53+$0.53
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.0000.075$0.47+$0.47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1600.055$0.34$0.66
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.013$0.22+$0.22
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 21:53Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0749999672$2.00
07-29 21:53Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
07-29 21:52Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.0989999564$2.00
07-29 21:52Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-13 03:32Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETBUY0.059999946$1.00
07-10 14:00UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.3299998927$2.00
07-10 13:59Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0589999464$1.00
07-08 13:08Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on July 8?BUY0.1799998704$1.00
07-07 22:42Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.019$0.22
07-07 22:41Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.35$1.67
07-07 22:41Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.33999983$1.00
07-07 22:33Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1879998804$1.00
07-07 22:32Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5BUY0.4899998285$1.00
07-07 22:31Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas RangersBUY0.6099999451$4.00
07-06 23:44Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.99$10.00