PolyBot

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Traders

Aventadooor

0x3f7df404223a2db1e6d69f2c553a3c1ab9f82e31

Realised P&L
$737.35
Volume
$48.5k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.3810.455$2.0k+$322.88
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$29.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$33.00
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2400.000$0.00$25.00
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$20.00
Spread: France (-1.5) · France0.1820.000$0.00$19.10
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$20.00
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$20.00
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$47.00
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$6.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.50
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 10:59Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.0042290307$1.69
09-16 10:59Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?SELL0.0509039$25.45
09-11 12:37Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.19$129.66
09-01 20:19Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.39$78.00
09-01 09:28Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.38$76.00
09-01 09:27Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.38$76.00
08-31 12:39Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.36$72.00
08-31 12:39Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.36$72.00
08-30 23:30Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.34$50.31
08-30 16:50Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.37$3.70
08-30 16:11Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.36$7.45
08-27 13:14Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.42$84.00
08-27 13:00Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.41$82.00
08-26 18:21Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.43$15.05
08-23 21:11Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?SELL0.88$439.99