Aventadooor
0x3f7df404223a2db1e6d69f2c553a3c1ab9f82e31
- Realised P&L
- $737.35
- Volume
- $48.5k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.381 | 0.455 | $2.0k | +$322.88 |
| Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.00 |
| Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Spread: France (-1.5) · France | 0.182 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.10 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.00 |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Japan? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.205Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$201.23at 0.599Will Trump increase tariffs on China before May?
- +$149.52at 0.433South Korean President impeached in 2024?
- +$133.27at 0.429Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?
- +$122.22at 0.711Will 7-8 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 10:59 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0042290307 | $1.69 |
| 09-16 10:59 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.0509039 | $25.45 |
| 09-11 12:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.19 | $129.66 |
| 09-01 20:19 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 09-01 09:28 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 09-01 09:27 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 08-31 12:39 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 08-31 12:39 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 08-30 23:30 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $50.31 |
| 08-30 16:50 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $3.70 |
| 08-30 16:11 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $7.45 |
| 08-27 13:14 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $84.00 |
| 08-27 13:00 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 08-26 18:21 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $15.05 |
| 08-23 21:11 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.88 | $439.99 |