0x3f77D9E6E232e76d91Ed662424BC90EB265C058C-1781024078439
0x3f77d9e6e232e76d91ed662424bc90eb265c058c
- Realised P&L
- $2.03
- Volume
- $226.95
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $15.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.59at 0.184Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$3.54at 0.590Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
- +$3.26at 0.736Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
- +$2.35at 0.685Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?
- +$1.96at 0.607Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 20:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.54 |
| 10-02 20:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 39% and 42% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 03:24 | Will Augusto Cury finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 03:23 | Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the December meeting? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 23:04 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 02:03 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3009999597 | $4.00 |
| 07-20 02:03 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.3002905312 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 21:20 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.2924999602 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 21:00 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.179999958 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 11:18 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5699999059 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 23:24 | Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4705882353 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 22:47 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 06-21 04:53 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs | BUY | 0.4199999272 | $3.00 |
| 06-21 01:47 | Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 06-18 18:27 | Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |